Sunday, January 24, 2021

A running start

And so it begins. The dreams. The doubts. And the planning. 2020 was a terrible year for running. It was hobbled by a November 2019 mystery strain and even though I managed to pull myself together for a few stretches of training, and competed in a few races, it was dismal. Every time I gained some momentum a niggle would appear. Every time a niggle appeared, I would wind it back, rehab and then cautiously build back up till the next set back. 2020 though was a year of uncertain events. I had two events converted into virtual runs. Major events fell off the calendar with all the Covid fears and precautions stripping out much to train towards. 

It began well with a New Years Day run, and the first 24 days of the year have accrued over 125km (2021 it took April to get so far, but incidentally in my best year, 2019, it took me 24 days to get to the same mark). 

Anyway, the planning begins and these are the events I'm currently lining up:

- Coatesville Half Marathon (14 February)

- The Dual trail marathon (10 April)

Saturday, January 16, 2021

A Cultural Revolution

 As part of my own personal revolution to audio-books (yes, it did not end at one book), I revisited the Chinese sci-fi novel Three Body Problem, but this time in English audio. So fascinated by it, I have already given the paperback to a few people as a gift. Each time before I give it, I usually give it a little flick through. It is an odd translation in that it has re-ordered the sequence for the audience starting with what in the book is a historical flashback in the middle of the book. It's an interesting choice: a flashback does occur chronologically first so it doesn't really hurt, I guess, but the sequence is set in the late 60s in a very critical moment of Chinese history, the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, usually abbreviated to the Cultural Revolution, is in full swing. However, if you do not know much about the context of the time I can imagine many readers feeling removed from it. 

What is the Cultural Revolution? I'll explain in my own gathered understanding because as the narrative again flooded into my ears via the audiobook I realised a very modern analogue. 

Most people know Chairman Mao as a dictator, near de facto emperor over China. His early story is subject to a lot of contention but struggled successfully to become the leading Communist when the Red Army prevailed over the Nationalist Party (KMT) in 1949. After a brief honeymoon period, his poor economic understanding resulted in the ironically named Great Leap Forward, which starved millions to death. It and other setbacks relegated him to a figurehead with the actual controls of the country in the hands of other capable officials. Things picked back up almost immediately with more liberal policies. Whether it was the resentment of other people leading well or that they were liberal methods, he and his enablers in the government triggered massive demonstrations of support for him. His people in the media turned the tables on the more liberal leaders and the masses rose against them and any others who had supported them. Everyone with any connection to liberalness was a target and people meted out their own justice on university professors, artists, the former landlords and former officials. The whole system of the country effectively fell into anarchy. Similar to the killing fields of the Khmer Rouge, the youth were the biggest tools. They organised in groups called Red Guards. They were given weapons to carry out the revolution; but in a twist they also turned against each other to show the fervor of their passion for Mao. 

The book begins in this twisted situation of militarised students fighting a battle, and then a "struggle session" with a professor. (Where they essentially torment an academic until they admit they are bourgeois and confess to all their sins.) It would seem to be another world that the leader of a country launches a revolution against itself to purge enemies and regain power, but Donald Trump ten days ago managed to trigger something similar to Mao. There are moments like this that you just have to laugh.

Wednesday, January 13, 2021

Dumb as a rock

Our of all the technology that has flowed into our lives, I had only read traditional paper-based books until very recently; never have I read a full story on an e-reader. (One of the few technological firsts that my wife beat me to.) I also have not listened to a modern downloadable audiobook. (I had to qualify that as I have listened to science fiction stories on cassette tapes in my teens.) It is not that I am averse to it, I just had no desire to read non-book books. And this is despite the fact that I listen to copious podcasts.

I broke this streak on a recommended app Libby, with which you can borrow e-books and audiobooks, like an e-library, if you will. Everything I wanted to read was out but just like a real library you can put out a hold, but one search brought up a curious short e-book so I thought I would give it a go while I was on the road. The book, The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity by Carol M. Cipolla, was the book, and I only chose it because I knew the author who wrote the foreword. And it was a curious thing. 

Its most interesting point is an objective definition of stupidity, which fits into a simple xy set of axes. Imagine an evaluation of someone's actions with the x axis measuring the net benefit to you, and the y axis measuring the net benefit to others. Actions in the top right hand quadrant are defined as intelligent actions because they don't just benefit yourself, but others, too, whereas the bottom left quadrant refers to stupid actions. They are actions where you don't just hurt yourself, net, but also harm others. As the book defines: "A stupid person is a person who causes losses to another person or to a group of persons while himself deriving no gain and even possibly incurring losses."

From this, you need to know that stupidity and intelligence are not about IQ. The author in fact posits that there is a ration akin to pi which indicates that if you grab any subset of people, that ratio will be stupid, always. It doesn't matter if you are black or white; professors or drop-outs; women, men or undefined. The corollary of this is that people who are well-educated are equally populated by people who make decisions that harm themselves and others, as the uneducated. (And vice-versa.)

Going back to the axes, the top-left quadrant, i.e., benefiting others but not yourself, your action is defined as helpless; and the bottom right-hand quadrant is that of the bandit. The author even refines this further by defining someone who gets lets benefit than the deprive others by as stupid bandits; and those who get more benefit than how much they harm someone as an intelligent bandit. Similar terms are available for the helpless.

It is the kind of earnest yet nerdy dissertation that you could have over a cider. There is a certain logic to it. And also one where you think about exceptions. For example, are all charitable people "helpless" or is their contentment in giving, which must be higher than the pinch of the financial cost, enough to make it an always intelligent thing to do. If we are taking into account contentment, then there are many horrendous things that could be done without being "stupid", such as a revenge on a bandit. 

More critically, it fails to take into account probability and the effect of iterations. Is an action only intelligent if it benefits others and yourself on the occasion you do it, when actually there was a chance that it could harm both. Going 110km an hour routinely on highways is stupid, but on a single occasion might be intelligent because of the benefits of extra time to you and your passengers, and the realistic low chance of a significant accident or a traffic fine on a single journey. 

That aside, it is useful to think about. The author structures it with some principles:
  1. Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation
  2. The probability that a certain person is stupid is independent of any other characteristic of that person.
  3. A stupid person is a person who causes losses to another person or to a group of persons while himself deriving no gain and even possibly incurring losses.
  4. Non-stupid people always underestimate the damaging power of stupid individuals.
  5. A stupid person is the most dangerous type of person. And the corollary: A stupid person is more dangerous than a bandit.
Now let us talk about the American political situation...

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Travelsplaining

I do not know why anyone would trust my powers of travel itinerary planning and implementation. Back in 2000 when my friend Justin and I were touring around China, we discovered very late that the day we were going to stay in Hangzhou did not exist. Somehow we had miscounted days and we literally pulled into the station, waited several hours (in which I had a memorable stomach upset...) and then got on the train again and left. In 2012, when we arrived in Queenstown I found that I booked November instead of December and had to rebook at the front desk.

The theme recurred on our summer trip this year twice when somehow I booked our Dunedin accommodation for November instead of December AND when we arrived in Ashburton I discovered that we had not arranged for the following evening of accommodation (I thought we had accounted for every night). Fortunately, the Dunedin hotel was understanding and moved the booking even though it had effectively passed; and in the second case, in the border-closed summer that it has been, there was still a lot of free rooms in other towns, and we chose Oamaru for an evening.

Oamaru rates a mention not just for its spontaneous appearance in our schedule. We had planned to go straight from Ashburton to Twizel but early in our planning Oamaru was an option instead of Twizel. Now we would be doing both. Oamaru was one of a twin pair of dots on a map to me for most of my life, Timaru and Oamaru. They are like our Paraguay, no, no, Uruguay! 

Timaru is a stop on the way to Oamaru and was much more substantial than my imagination. It had a huge bay and port. But we barely stayed there more than an hour. Oamaru was the gem, though. The appeal of it was its proximity to Moeraki boulders, penguins and Whitestone Cheese. What I didn't know before hand was the Whitestone wasn't just a name: The Oamaru area was regarded as "whitestone" country, because of the abundance of limestone. And the Victorian quarter shows it, with almost every building in a stunning white. The limestone was laid down through an era when the land was submerged and an age of microorganisms that died and calcified. (Higher up the valley in Duntroon there is a fossil museum for the area where they will say how fossils have been found as they were cutting out the bricks for the buildings.)

We ambitiously wanted to see the boulders and penguins before dinner. The penguins, yellow eyed penguins, were not up to it when we were there but at least got to walk around the boulders. According to Gavin Menzies, in his book 1434 which speculated that Chinese explorers may have got as far south as New Zealand, the Moeraki boulders may have been anchors for their boats. They are certainly curious stones but apparently there are natural processes that may have formed them.

Whitestone Cheese tour was a lark. We were led around by Jim, a raconteur of old. He could roll out his favourite lines, roll in the stories of those on tour and generally have a rollicking time of it. At the end was the key part: cheese tasting. There were two options, with or without wine matching and beforehand I chose with, only to find that I was the only one! (Not surprising since it was before noon, but clearly all other men in the group had their wives or others do their bookings because they were quite surprised that that could be done, and were envious.) 

Then it was up the valley to Omarama and then Twizel on a beautiful highway with plenty of rocks and a series of lakes. Twizel has another one of those evocative names, like Methven and Haast. Twizel was apparently a designed town in the Scandinavian mould, with schools and facilities in the centre and ring roads around it. The town was small but was more of a launchpad for Aoraki Mt Cook National Park. We could have stayed in Mt Cook Village but I was worried about the chances of bad weather and thought a more central base gave us more options.

The trip to the trails in the park was stunning with Lake Pukaki on the right, snowy mountains peering from the end of the valley in front and massive hills on the left. At the end of the valley road, you have two choices: The village side or the Tasman side. The Tasman side of it had tracks going to the Tasman Glacier viewing points and also the lake and river flowing from it. I probably had the wrong expectation of the Glacier track; Tasman Glacier terminal point was far away and it was just the lake to see, really. But another track took us to the Blue Lakes, which had turned green because of the amount of rainfall. On the village side, there were more significant tracks and we went on a route up to "Kea Point". It was a pleasant walk although regrettably shorter than I would have wanted.

Then it was the long drive to Queenstown. I had been there so many times but this was the first time with a rental car. The joy of driving between towns inland in this area made it all the worthwhile. Lindis Pass and surrounds were epically beautiful and then the Kawerau River Gorge again was breathtaking. It made a long drive simple. There were a lot of places I had wished for more time to investigate, such as Bendigo. 

We eventually pulled into the Ramada on 31 December, recalling eight years previously being in Queenstown on New Years Eve. We shot over to Arrowtown to celebrate, but just prior checked out the sites, including the restored Chinese Mining Settlement. The story, and this was a much repeated story in Otago mining towns, was of Chinese workers in the late 1800s invited over (men only allowed) to mine the spent patches to sustain the economy, but excluded from much integration into the Pakeha world. The courage for the original British settlers was huge; imagine it for a Chinese person in that era to come to these distant isles. Some of them had already done mining in California and Australia but many were direct from the farm. I could imagine them as my in-laws from the village coming to this frosty foreign place. We walked around reading plaques and going into the restored "homes". Christy cried at one point reading the story of a boat taking the remains of the Chinese who perished in New Zealand sinking in the Hokianga Harbour. In Chinese tradition it was important to be buried in your home and to think a whole boatload of souls were permanently interred still on the wrong side of the world was a bit too much. 

After dinner, it was New Year. Christy had hardly ever stayed up for New Years before but after fading earlier in the day picked up after 11pm and we went down to Queenstown Central where it was crowded and pumping with sound. It was a time for Covid-thoughts. People had lost any vigilance and there was no hope of social distancing, and we, as with others, were not wearing masks. It was a potential story: outbreak in Queenstown, but fortunately it didn't come to pass. What did was some of the best fireworks I had seen. 

I celebrated New Year Day by running my longest run since 14 November, seemingly without any issues to speak of. I followed it up two days later with an even longer run. It is a good omen for 2021!

While in Queenstown we visited Glenorchy briefly and then went forward onto our next destination, Dunedin. Again though the trip was quite "a trip". The scenery road from Alexandra toward Dunedin was rock-strewn, probably used in Lord of the Rings. The flooding of previous days was also clear in the murky rivers. Along the way we stopped at Lawrence where gold was first discovered in Otago. There was a Chinese settlement and the site of it was well done with the stories of the miners, well recorded. There was a house that had been retained too:

Once in Dunedin, and aafter a quick scout around, we were off to the tip of Otago Peninsula to see Royal Albatrosses and Little Blue Penguins. (Along the way we also passed Otakou, the misheard, misapplied name that became Otago.) The one key story of a lot of New Zealand's wildlife is that what we have is a blessing that sometimes we don't deserve. This point used to have plenty of birdlife but human occupation pushed it the edge. It was only modern conservation ideas and the protection of the iwi that allowed animal life to bounce back. The birdlife is dense: I have never been so scared of a seagull horde; there was a whole community of cormorants; I spotted my first Royal Spoonbills ever; but of course we were there for the extraordinary albatrosses.

Then there were the less breathtaking but exceptionally cute penguins. The real spectacle for me was to witness them grouping offshore into "rafts" and then storming the beach en masse before their eager waddle up to their homes. It is a brilliant function of nature that you can imagine that independent penguins returning from their feeding in different places all gather, swimming about, and then once critical mass is reached, they flock ashore. Some of them have long walks home - one curious one was in advance of us as we went back to our car, climbing a flight of stairs before getting to his high hill burrow.

The next day was a wet day but we still got to Dunedin Botanic Gardens for the Kaka and plants; and to Baldwin Street that I had always wanted to run up. After some time in the museums and then to St Clair Beach, it was almost time to go to the airport but I snuck in a stop along the way to Tunnel Beach. This now not-so-secret beach one of the city founders had cut a tunnel to an isolated beach with high cliffs. The beach, stunningly set. It had a waterfall, steep cliffs, a seal lolling in the centre and a ton of other people.

And then it was the airport in the middle of nowhere and back. This trip only happened as a result of the pandemic, so I guess we can be thankful for it.


Thursday, January 07, 2021

Onwards 2021

2020 had a fast and furious working end to get everything in its right place before holidays were started. Despite not publishing a blog in the month of December, I did start writing extensively for two projects of my own, one of my memoirs and one of my thoughts. 

Memoirs might sound like a premature thing to be writing, especially as I have a blog which acts as a diary and has quite faithfully recorded my life and moments since 2004. But I am now in a period of my life where I am more aware of the loss of my memories. It is also well known that a memory remembered is a memory recreated and thus more liable to error. The use of a good diary or memoir is to freeze it in its earliest iteration before much confabulation enters into it. 

The writing on my thoughts I wish to have a clear arc of how I think and value things at this time, purely descriptive but hopefully help me think through what I think and how I got to where I am philosophically.

My blog will be just a journal of the day and what I see, experience and think at the moment, but may also have some writing that don't work in the two projects, and also once any part of the two projects are how I want them to be, I might publish them here.